# Trades Watchlist

- TRAK - Long Beta Momentum into catalyst: Food safety modernisation act enforcement on January 20, 2026.
- LIN  - Long Beta Momentum, high beta vs S&P ?
- WBA  - Long Turnaround
- AMT  - Long as proxy for short rates
- BG   - Long Inflation trade
- NVDA - Short turnaround - Has gone nowhere since June 2024! Get over it. Move on. You can make money from other stocks too PT:70-85$ by June
- ASTS - Long Beta momentum ?
- NKE - Long
- UBER - Jan26 Risk/Reversal - Short $72.5 Puts, Long $115 Calls for $0.59 net credit
- TEMPUS AI (TEM) - Jan26 Risk/Reversal - Short $45 Puts, Long $100 Calls for 0$
- NEBIUS (NBIS) Jan26 Risk/Reversal - Short $30 puts, Long $60 calls
-

If the Nixon shock ushered in the end of Bretton Woods 1.0, yesterday — probably to be named in history “Trump shock” — ushered in the end of Bretton Woods 2.0.

positive catalyst for end of "correction": new debt ceiling which will provide an injection of liquidity,


# We dont know when bottom
astrology say's should be end march, lot volatility sideway trading april/may then FED does something June then New moon in cancer end june market goes into recovery

GAG: focus on pre-vote SPACS
 SPACs, the downside is the Trust Floor (free options)

CANNABIS RESCHEDULING ?

GAG THEME

Basel3 - 1 july 25
basel3 reclassified gold as Tier 1 asset, on par with cash and bonds
project 2025 & gold


China taking over Taiwan - Trade war in focus now

DEFLATION ?

ACCUMULATE BONDS ?   I wouldn't take any profits, we may end up at 3% on 10y once people see deflation as more likely than stagflation - texaskitty

real austerity (fix aka no QE ) or QE


eurofag to ban XMR by 2027

the whole,we are going to take care of the deficit by the trump admin was a big joke, only thing they can do is pump bags, DC need the market higher so can service more debt.

# citrini
We think healthcare will be ground zero for phase 2 of AI, expect significant improvement in speed and efficiency in identifing drug candidate will led to significant tailwind for the drug devellopement supply chain.


# sleepysol

pointing to down trend in durable good (BEA), not good mean deflation (worst case scenario?) , as to do with restrain on immigration...

things that do well in deflationary env - Utilities, Consumer staples, Low P/E stocks (not growth)

buy healthcare, energy, utilities


24 april -
if bullish DXY should be long risk assets, sell defensive sell gold
if belives only a bounce, buy risk asset and then dump them into cash or gold and wait for next DXY leg down


Deflation is coming - earnings revison down told us

if bearish DXY - CVNA will roll over


WHEN DXY BOTTOM GO LONG RISK ASSETS


# Mike Wilson - Morgan stanley - King Contra Monkey
7 april - "4700 (SPY) next level of support"
12 may - "Our 6,500 S&P 500 year-end target is very much intact"


# S&P levels to watch
5560: April 1 Lows
5570: Weekly Straddle Low
5575: Mar 2025 & Tariff Day Swing low & 50D MA
5610-5615: FOMC supportive downtrend.
5635-5645: AUG/SEP 2024 Highs
5660-5680: Tariff Breakdown Level
5710: Pre-election Lows & MAR 2025 Swing high (several times) & 50W MA
5750: Early March Lows and 21D EMA
5775: Mid-January 2025 Low, Late Mar 2025 High, Election Gap Bottom
5805: Weekly Straddle High
5810 - Mid January Low Cluster
5850: Post Election Lows, January 2025 Lows, MAR 2025 Breakdown
5900-5905: Upper range of post election pull backs
5940-5950: Late February Breakdown, early February gap support
6000: Post Election NOV highs, Swing High Early Jan
6050: Post FOMC early Jan Swing High, FOMC Breakdown