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authornic <ra@afu.re>2024-09-11 22:55:12 -0400
committernic <ra@afu.re>2024-09-11 22:55:12 -0400
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Auto from nzxt - Wed 11 Sep 2024 10:55:12 PM EDT
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@@ -1,16 +1,3 @@
-# GDP
-Real private investment increased only 2.7 % over last 2 years which is below the GDP # meaning recent rate of GDP increases is unsubstainables - + laggin its pre covid trend
-For last 7 Quarters Real governement purshases is growing at a faster rate than private consumption
- the private economy—which is all that matters since it’s the only part that’s productive—is stalling out - more evident when looks at real fixed private investements
-The federal debt increased almost $600 billion in Q1, in exchange for GDP increasing about $300 billion.
-In other words, the federal government is “buying” only 53 cents of “growth” for every dollar it goes into debt
-
-
-
-# PMI
-Service PMI employement came in at 46.1 confirming a 5 month contraction that is intensifying & confirming Jan print was dead cat bounce
-new one
-
# Macro & Themes
@@ -63,3 +50,16 @@ Why ? because bond will take that place Why? ... ? equity risk premium ?
Is crypto the equivalent of the german stock market during weimar ? probably yes
4xQQQ but also kinda of a hedge against currency debasement
+
+# GDP
+Real private investment increased only 2.7 % over last 2 years which is below the GDP # meaning recent rate of GDP increases is unsubstainables - + laggin its pre covid trend
+For last 7 Quarters Real governement purshases is growing at a faster rate than private consumption
+ the private economy—which is all that matters since it’s the only part that’s productive—is stalling out - more evident when looks at real fixed private investements
+The federal debt increased almost $600 billion in Q1, in exchange for GDP increasing about $300 billion.
+In other words, the federal government is “buying” only 53 cents of “growth” for every dollar it goes into debt
+
+
+
+# PMI
+Service PMI employement came in at 46.1 confirming a 5 month contraction that is intensifying & confirming Jan print was dead cat bounce
+new one