Auto from nzxt - Tue 16 Dec 2025 01:47:41 PM EST

1 files changed, 16 insertions, 5 deletions

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+++ b/Trading.md
@@ -1,18 +1,19 @@
 # Trades Watchlist
 
 - MO/PM - BUY DIP ???
-## Long
 - [[wiki4:LIN|LIN]]  - Long when turnaround in ISM PMI
 - [[wiki4:AMT|AMT]]  - Proxy for trading rates (yields)
 - BG   - Long Inflation trade - BUY DIP
 - BTU  - DEFINE & BUY DIP
 - HE - hwaian electric (turnaround) ?
-- HYPD - need conviction
 - Short UPS / FDX
 - Short BYND - OPTION TRADE SINCE HARD TO FIND SHARES
 - Short NSRGY
-- LONG POAHY -Euro rearmement bet
-- Short PE (, BX, APO) party over why? Credit where danger currently is, why?
+
+- LONG POAHY - Euro rearmement bet
+
+- Short PE (, BX, APO) party over
+- why? Credit where danger currently is, why?
 - short CVNA
 - LONG UURAF (biggest weight citrini...)
 - INTC - most obvious market long
@@ -36,8 +37,10 @@ WBD Buy dec 25 cal @ 0.75$
 - [[wiki4:LASR|LASR]]
 - prepare silver short like HL as hedge but reverse turn around trade eventually
 - YLLXF
+- XOM 145 PT 
+- SU
+- [[wiki4:HON|HON]]
 
-## Short
 
 # Market Themes (dynamics) (eventually separate into current and future?)
 
@@ -56,6 +59,8 @@ Fannie/Freddie IPO ?
 Us midterms cycle 3mar-3nov
 CCII - blockchain.com spac ?
 
+another leg for silver to 80 ?
+
 If Germany truly intends to build the "strongest conventional army in Europe" with €650B over 5 years, there is no path to achieve this without Volkswagen Group's manufacturing capacity
 
 privite lendings stress find shorts >
@@ -75,11 +80,15 @@ dec 1 start
 - copper deficit by 2026 ?
 What we saw in the last couple of weeks was likely a preview of a wider “unwind” that may (or may not!) take place later down the line.
 
+Ai buildout energy high quality : GEV, CEG, VRT
+
 - Canada being greeked - Greeks had borrowed money from the global markets in order to buy houses massively. They thought that house ownership somehow, someone, somewhere would produce goods and services for them
 - greeked - https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/realestate/the-housing-market-is-no-longer-a-wealth-building-engine-as-home-prices-continue-to-slump/ar-AA1LyI8C?apiversion=v2&noservercache=1&domshim=1&renderwebcomponents=1&wcseo=1&batchservertelemetry=1&noservertelemetry=1
 https://www.newsweek.com/majority-companies-hiking-prices-cover-tariffs-kpmg-10840802
 
 
+midterms - Q1 usually is OK, with the weakness coming in Q2 and Q3 - see chart 
+the subsequent quarters after Midterms are the strongest
 
 - https://redlib.privacyredirect.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1of1r16/short_quantum_ionq_qbts_rgti_qubt_btq_laes_cccx/
 
@@ -99,6 +108,8 @@ Burry's got NVDA 12/17/2027 110P
 
 Silver A massive paper market was built to suppress volatility. The paper market is now estimated at 50x the physical... price supression will break leading to higher price and possibly no physical silver
 
+https://www.reuters.com/sustainability/climate-energy/eu-yields-pressure-automakers-it-rethinks-2035-combustion-car-ban-2025-12-15/
+
 # citrini
 We think healthcare will be ground zero for phase 2 of AI, expect significant improvement in speed and efficiency in identifing drug candidate will led to significant tailwind for the drug devellopement supply chain.