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@@ -40,6 +40,9 @@ WBD Buy dec 25 cal @ 0.75$
- XOM 145 PT
- SU
- [[wiki4:HON|HON]]
+- Long DUOL - valuation reset eps 25x pivot
+- short BAH (consulants)
+- long cflt alab
# Market Themes & Narratives
@@ -50,7 +53,6 @@ another leg for silver to 80 / 100 ?
Papermarket & physicals shenanigans
-
midterms - Q1 usually is OK, with the weakness coming in Q2 and Q3 - see chart {{local:img/midterms.png|midterms seasonality}}
the subsequent quarters after Midterms are the strongest
@@ -75,6 +77,12 @@ Oil Shock risk
# Notes & Observations on markets dynamics
+- Ai "god" momentum & service sector apocalypse
+
+- no hiring no firing mrkt
+
+- K shaped everything
+
- Will fed pivot trigger another run up in inflation a la 1974-1982 - compare 74-76 to 22-24... {{local:img/CPI-74-82vstoday.jpg}}
- Inflation still historically high - Trump admin is inflationary