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[Fundamentals](/Fundamentals/index.md)
[Research](/Research/index.md)
[[Current]]
# Dynamics and logic
probability = succesful outcomes / total outcomes
odds = succesful outcome : unsucessful outcomes
1:(1/p-1) where p expressed as decimals
if opinion on forex express it via stocks
If started positon half of max position can cut stp loss by half
Start by analysing Volatility ATR of the stock to set initial hard stp loss and soft target
Positive correlation between Nominal GDP growth rate & Nominal interest rates
Every company in theory if not shriking should grow at least at GDP + Inflation
Inflation - 2%
GDP - 3%
5%
then assume the growth of the total TAM fo the business lets say 3%
8% growth is now the baseline, where you get the multiples, multiples the company should trade at
8% * 2 = 16 should be at 16x times multiples
# COSTLY ERROR
WTF WHY ARE THE CHART & BID NOT THE SAME AS MARKET PRICE IN ACCOUNT TAB ???
WTF I TRADED FUTURES THINKING I HAD LIVE DATA BUT WAS DELAYED 10min - FUCK 2379$ error would would have been a profit otherwise !
MarketWatcher script
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