1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
|
# Trades Watchlist
- TRAK - Long Beta Momentum into catalyst: Food safety modernisation act enforcement on January 20, 2026.
- LIN - Long Beta Momentum, high beta vs S&P ?
- WBA - Long Turnaround
- AMT - Long as proxy for short rates
- BG - Long Inflation trade
- NVDA - Short turnaround - Has gone nowhere since June 2024! Get over it. Move on. You can make money from other stocks too PT:70-85$ by June
- ASTS - Long Beta momentum ?
- NKE - Long
- UBER - Jan26 Risk/Reversal - Short $72.5 Puts, Long $115 Calls for $0.59 net credit
- TEMPUS AI (TEM) - Jan26 Risk/Reversal - Short $45 Puts, Long $100 Calls for 0$
- NEBIUS (NBIS) Jan26 Risk/Reversal - Short $30 puts, Long $60 calls
-
If the Nixon shock ushered in the end of Bretton Woods 1.0, yesterday — probably to be named in history “Trump shock” — ushered in the end of Bretton Woods 2.0.
positive catalyst for end of "correction": new debt ceiling which will provide an injection of liquidity,
# We dont know when bottom
astrology say's should be end march, lot volatility sideway trading april/may then FED does something June then New moon in cancer end june market goes into recovery
GAG: focus on pre-vote SPACS
SPACs, the downside is the Trust Floor (free options)
CANNABIS RESCHEDULING ?
GAG THEME
Basel3 - 1 july 25
basel3 reclassified gold as Tier 1 asset, on par with cash and bonds
project 2025 & gold
China taking over Taiwan - Trade war in focus now
DEFLATION ?
ACCUMULATE BONDS ? I wouldn't take any profits, we may end up at 3% on 10y once people see deflation as more likely than stagflation - texaskitty
real austerity (fix aka no QE ) or QE
eurofag to ban XMR by 2027
the whole,we are going to take care of the deficit by the trump admin was a big joke, only thing they can do is pump bags, DC need the market higher so can service more debt.
# citrini
We think healthcare will be ground zero for phase 2 of AI, expect significant improvement in speed and efficiency in identifing drug candidate will led to significant tailwind for the drug devellopement supply chain.
# sleepysol
pointing to down trend in durable good (BEA), not good mean deflation (worst case scenario?) , as to do with restrain on immigration...
things that do well in deflationary env - Utilities, Consumer staples, Low P/E stocks (not growth)
buy healthcare, energy, utilities
24 april -
if bullish DXY should be long risk assets, sell defensive sell gold
if belives only a bounce, buy risk asset and then dump them into cash or gold and wait for next DXY leg down
Deflation is coming - earnings revison down told us
if bearish DXY - CVNA will roll over
WHEN DXY BOTTOM GO LONG RISK ASSETS
# Mike Wilson - Morgan stanley - King Contra Monkey
7 april - "4700 (SPY) next level of support"
12 may - "Our 6,500 S&P 500 year-end target is very much intact"
# S&P levels to watch
5560: April 1 Lows
5570: Weekly Straddle Low
5575: Mar 2025 & Tariff Day Swing low & 50D MA
5610-5615: FOMC supportive downtrend.
5635-5645: AUG/SEP 2024 Highs
5660-5680: Tariff Breakdown Level
5710: Pre-election Lows & MAR 2025 Swing high (several times) & 50W MA
5750: Early March Lows and 21D EMA
5775: Mid-January 2025 Low, Late Mar 2025 High, Election Gap Bottom
5805: Weekly Straddle High
5810 - Mid January Low Cluster
5850: Post Election Lows, January 2025 Lows, MAR 2025 Breakdown
5900-5905: Upper range of post election pull backs
5940-5950: Late February Breakdown, early February gap support
6000: Post Election NOV highs, Swing High Early Jan
6050: Post FOMC early Jan Swing High, FOMC Breakdown
|
